Miami Dolphins: Team and Player Analysis for the 2022 NFL Season

This is an excerpt from Warren Sharp Football 2022 Preview The book gets you prepared for the NFL season by providing the smartest information and analysis in the fastest, most direct way possible.

Miami Dolphins: 2022 Team and Player Analysis:

One of the wildest starts to a career he finished fifth in a draft due to things completely out of his control.

Now, people are writing it off.

But think about this year every time Toa TagoviloaPerspective.

In 2019, the 21-year-old is expected to take first place overall in the draft when he suffers a catastrophic hip injury.

In 2020, he was drafted No. 5 overall while he was still rehabilitating his hip injury. Then COVID happened and shut down the nation. Forced to rehab during COVID and learn a crime in virtual meetings from a retired 67-year-old OC who was modeling the crime for his old friend Ryan Fitzpatrick.

There was no way Tua could get any reps because QB1 given the team was trying (with limited training time) to prepare Fitzpatrick for the season. Flores then told Gailey that the team was just beginning to come out of the farewell in week eight, and Gilly couldn’t believe it, saying, “I was in total shock. We didn’t even have a pre-appointment. It was a whole new offense (for Justa).”

Gailey certainly didn’t make many offense changes when Tagovailoa became the initiator. They just ran a Fitzpatrick-designed Gailey crime.

Unsurprisingly, his rookie season has been a struggle.

Heading into 2021, Tagovailoa finally had a healthy season and could capture all the QB1 shots in camp. But he had no idea who the offensive coordinator was, even two weeks before the season. The coordinators changed theatrical contact assignments during the season, alienating the quarterback even further.

Tagovailoa suffered rib fractures early in Week 2, and missed most of that game and the next three (the Dolphins went 0-4 in those four games), only to come back for two losses by three points or less before breaking the middle finger on his hand in a Week 8 loss for the Bills.

His future No. 1 missed seven games.

Look at Tua callers:

  • 2019 – Chad O’Shea (1st time)
  • 2020 – Jele-chan (retired after 2016 at age 64, returning for the 2020 season only at age 67)
  • 2021 – Co-curators George Godsey and Eric Studsville (they haven’t officially revealed who did what)

Talk about a diverse crew of callers.

In 2019, crime was terrible under Fitzpatrick and O’Shea. He was the lowest 10 and O’Shea was released one year later.

In 2020, Gilly is only back because of his relationship with Ryan Fitzpatrick, having previously called out plays for him. However, there was no pre-season due to COVID, and Gilly described it as his toughest season ever to call plays in the NFL.

In 2021, no one knew who would call up plays for the Dolphins until a week before the season began. It wasn’t Flores providing direction, and eventually it was decided that Studesville would call in plays to start the year. The crime faltered, so at one point Godsey took over the dial.

Moving through these four different offensive coordinators in a three-year period will cause problems. He lacks a clear plan, shows little confidence in his chosen callers, and makes life more difficult for the young midfielder.

If that wasn’t a bad enough way to start our career, we haven’t even discussed the players around him.

Tua lacks separate receiver

For the past two years, he’s had the only two in the NFL, and his future has been the worst chapter in the NFL.

As a result of having no receivers that could break apart (except for Waddle) and having the lowest class in the NFL for the second year in a row, Tagovailoa once again ranked very high in aggressiveness.

Aggression is a next-generation statistic that tracks the rate of passing attempts by a midfielder who is in tight coverage, with a defender one yard or less from the receiver at the time of completion or incompleteness.

In 2021, Tua ranked first in the NFL, with nearly 20% of his passes thrown into narrow windows.

That came after the 2020 season when he ranked sixth, with 20.3% thrown into tight windows.

This is not a “Tua can’t read defenses” statistic. In 2020, Fitzpatrick (who started the season) was second with 20.7% and in 2021 when Tagoviloa wasted time, Jacobi Brisset Third place with 18.7%.

In the case of dolphins, this is just another way to look at the state of the class.

These narrow window throws increase interception rates while also decreasing yardage odds after a catch (which we’ll discuss shortly).

This is out of season, by extension Trek HillDolphins have created more separation for all of their receivers. In 2021, Hill averaged 3.6 yards (14 of 127 receivers). In 2020, it measured 3.4 yards (23 by 132 receivers). In 2019, it was 3.2 yards (22 from 125 receivers). Now he’ll be on the field instead of Parker.

Dolphins didn’t stop there. They also added Cedric Wilsonwho averaged 3.5 yards last year, and ranked 20th out of 127 receivers.

Based on last year’s statistics, Miami now has ranked separation receivers:

  • Fourteenth (Terrick Hill)
  • Twenty (Cedric Wilson)
  • Thirty-fifth (Jalen Waddell)

Tua lacks traffic protection in 2021

In 2021, the Dolphins had the NFL’s worst midfield streak. They ranked last in ESPN’s pass block win rate and last dead in professional football focus scores.

In 2020, the situation was not much better.

While quarterbacks play a role in pressing rates, the Dolphins in 2021 were pressed on 33% of early bottom passes in the first three quarters of games. These are pro-QB situations, when the quarterback is not in heavy passing mode and when the defenses don’t know whether to call a run or a pass.

However, in those situations, Miami had pressures at the fifth highest of any team in the NFL.

Last year, Tua threw 33% of his passes in under two seconds (the fifth highest in the NFL) and 61% of his passes in under 2.5 seconds (the fifth highest in the NFL).

As a result, in the Offseason Dolphins have made some massive improvements to their streak by adding Conor Williams And the Tyrone Armstead This is offseason. Armstead was one of the best left tackles in the NFL and once again ranked fourth among all pass protection tackles in 2021 in the PFF. Only one sachet allowed and 4.8% compression rate.

Getting rid of a soccer ball quickly isn’t necessarily a bad thing. But for big plays, the quarterback sometimes needs to catch the ball to allow plays to develop. When Tagovailoa held the ball for more than 3.5 seconds, look at his splits:

  • Pressure: -0.68 EPA/att, 24% success, 74% accuracy, 6.8 YPA, 42% complete (37 att)
  • Uncompressed: 0.59 EPA/Att, 75% success, 83% accuracy, 10.9 YPA, 75% completion (12 att)

The problem was that Tagoviloa was pressed on 76% of those dropouts, the fourth most in the NFL. Brissett was the first to continue strengthening, it was the offensive line, not the midfielder, who was probably the biggest hindrance on the attacking underside.

How about a little context? People are more likely to say “Oh, those numbers mean nothing – no team wants their quarterback to hold the ball for longer than 3.5 seconds, so that rarely happens.”

Let’s compare the Dolphins’ quarterbacks to the last two Super Bowl champions, their attempts, and where they rank in the pressure rating of these fallbacks in 2021 (out of 42 quarterbacks):

  • Jacobi Brissett (MIA) Compression rate of 80% (first) on 59 regression points
  • Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) average pressure of 76% (IV) on 67 landings
  • Matthew Stafford (LAR) pressure rating 43% (41) at 119 landings
  • Tom Brady (TB) 41% compression ratio (42) on 59 dips

Stafford had roughly the same number of touchdowns of 3.5+ seconds as all of the Miami quarterbacks combined. However, despite the size difference, look at where he and Brady rank in the rate stressing these dips.

What would happen to dolphins if pressure drops dramatically in 2022? Tua ranked second in success rate when throwing without stress on the pulldown with 3.5+ seconds. He ranked fifth in achievement rate and 14th and 17th (above average) in YPA and EPA/Att, respectively.

Where is the 49th rank last year? When Jimmy Garoppolo didn’t press 3.5+ seconds off the 49ers’ offense ranked first in EPA/att, third in pass rate, and fifth in YPA.

It wasn’t the 49ers’ offense that looked like the quarterback was holding the ball for so long. But they had great designs when those plays were called. I expect something similar for Dolphins in 2022.

I would expect Dolphin 2022 to see a 33% lower compression ratio in early bottom passes (a fifth higher) as did Dolphin 2021.

The dolphins in the offseason have made some huge improvements to their line by adding Conor Williams And the Tyrone Armstead This is offseason. Armstead was one of the best left tackles in the NFL and once again ranked fourth among all pass protection tackles in 2021 in the PFF. Only one sachet allowed and 4.8% compression rate.

Tua lacks a running game in 2021

Last year, thanks to a terrible offensive line, the running game was really bad.

Dolphins ranked 30th in lunge efficiency last year.

At the start of the race in the first three quarters, they ranked 30 in dash, 31 in yards per rush, 28 in first touchdown per dash and 25 in EPA/rush. They ranked 26 in pre-call yards per lunge (more than O-line stats) but their backs still ranked 29 in post-contact yards per lunge.

When running backwards only, across all touchdowns, and game length, the Miami Dolphins ranked:

  • 32 in yards after contact per lunge
  • 31st place in pass rate and first touchdown per lunge
  • 30th place in YPC
  • 29 in EPA / Att

Tua lacks YAC (yards after hunt)

Where were the dolphins ranking at YAC/Reception last year?

1. San Francisco – 6.6 yards/receiver
31. Miami – 4.3 yards / reception

These rankings remain the same if we expand over the past three years together.

Take a look at this unrealistic statistic:

Since 2019, Jimmy Garoppolo has been #1 in the NFL in yards/at (8.4)…

But…

42nd place out of 43 qualifying quarterbacks in the air yards/Att.

How is this possible?

YAC / his completion is 6.8, much better in the NFL

In fact, for four years in a row, the 49ers ranked first in yards after catch per reception.

The coach who helped with Kyle Shanahan build this offense? None other than Mike McDaniel, Dolphins’ new offensive engineer.

How will Tua Tagovailoa play in 2022?

Unfortunately, Tua blamed a lot of his offensive struggles, and while some of it was fair, most of it was totally unfair.

For all that went wrong around him, despite not healing his ribs and toes for most of the season, Tua’s numbers were excellent in his first full season as an NFL rookie.

In 2021’s deep passes, Toa ranked:

  • 1st in EPA / Att
  • First in success rate and comp %
  • 1st in YPA

These have been huge strides since 2020.

Tagovailoa has also seen significant improvements in nearly every stable QB metric, including:

Passage without pressure (for example, an increase from 0.08 EPA / Att in 2020 to 0.21 in 2021)
– pass record drops
– Passes out of pocket
– First passes down in the first three quarters
– Passes when transplanted
– Lay-ups

Where it was worse in 2021 was using less stable quarterback gauges, such as passing when pressed, when out of pocket, when attacking, and when moving.

In terms of accuracy, this is where Tua was at its best and even better than 2020. It ranked 8th in overall accuracy last year. Rank first in accuracy in throws from 1-10 air yards.

When he was not under pressure, he ranked sixth in accuracy.

For the 2022 NFL season:

  • We have a better future, better seafarers, better and more consistent training.
  • Expect more receiver detachment and more YAC.
  • We have a quarterback who is probably better than what they give him credit for after his entire season as a rookie.

I’m excited to see what this team will look like in 2022.

For the full Miami Dolphins chapter, including dozens of visuals and infographics, defensive breakdown, and detailed fantasy football embeds—plus the other 31 team chapters—choose a copy of Warren Sharp football 2022 preview

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